Individual and collective stock dynamics: intra-day seasonalities
Allez, Romain; Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe (2011), Individual and collective stock dynamics: intra-day seasonalities, New Journal of Physics, 13, p. n°025010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/13/2/025010
Type
Article accepté pour publication ou publiéExternal document link
http://arxiv.org/abs/1009.4785Date
2011Journal name
New Journal of PhysicsVolume
13Publisher
IOP Science
Pages
n°025010
Publication identifier
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract (EN)
We establish several new stylized facts concerning the intra-day seasonalities of stock dynamics. Beyond the well-known U-shaped pattern of the volatility, we find that the average correlation between stocks increases throughout the day, leading to a smaller relative dispersion between stocks. Somewhat paradoxically, the kurtosis (a measure of volatility surprises) reaches a minimum at the open of the market, when the volatility is at its peak. We confirm that the dispersion kurtosis is a markedly decreasing function of the index return. This means that during large market swings, the idiosyncratic component of the stock dynamics becomes sub-dominant. In a nutshell, the early hours of trading are dominated by idiosyncratic or sector-specific effects with little surprises, whereas the influence of the market factor increases throughout the day, and surprises become more frequent.Subjects / Keywords
Computational physics; Statistical physics and nonlinear systems; Statistical FinanceRelated items
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