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Endogenous participation risk in speculative markets

Challe, Edouard (2008), Endogenous participation risk in speculative markets, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 32, 7, p. 2148–2164. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2007.09.016

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Type
Article accepté pour publication ou publié
Date
2008-07
Journal name
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Volume
32
Number
7
Publisher
Elsevier
Pages
2148–2164
Publication identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2007.09.016
Metadata
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Author(s)
Challe, Edouard
Abstract (EN)
This paper analyses the dynamic implications of an asset-pricing model with incomplete participation due to entry costs. It is shown that heterogeneity in entry costs can lead to the existence of multiple stochastic sunspot equilibria, whereby the number of agents in the market and asset prices fluctuate endogeneously over time in the absence of fundamental uncertainty. Such asset-price fluctuations occur despite the uniqueness of the deterministic equilibrium, and thus bear no link to the usual notion of steady-state indeterminacy. In addition to excess volatility, the equilibria exhibit predictable and conditionally heteroskedastic returns.
Subjects / Keywords
Incomplete participation; Self-fulfilling expectations; Asset price volatility
JEL
D84 - Expectations; Speculations
G11 - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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