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Determinants of Mexico-US outward and return migration flows: A state-level panel data analysis

hal.structure.identifier
dc.contributor.authorde la Rupelle, Maëlys
hal.structure.identifierLaboratoire d'Economie de Dauphine [LEDa]
dc.contributor.authorChort, Isabelle
HAL ID: 174668
ORCID: 0000-0002-8730-364X
dc.date.accessioned2017-04-13T13:25:28Z
dc.date.available2017-04-13T13:25:28Z
dc.date.issued2016
dc.identifier.issn0070-3370
dc.identifier.urihttps://basepub.dauphine.fr/handle/123456789/16513
dc.language.isoenen
dc.subjectInternational migrationen
dc.subjectMexico-U.S. migrationen
dc.subjectReturn migrationen
dc.subjectGravityequationen
dc.subjectMexicoen
dc.subject.ddc331.12en
dc.subject.classificationjelR.R2.R23en
dc.subject.classificationjelJ.J0.J01en
dc.subject.classificationjelO.O1.O15en
dc.titleDeterminants of Mexico-US outward and return migration flows: A state-level panel data analysisen
dc.typeArticle accepté pour publication ou publié
dc.description.abstractenUsing a unique panel data set of state-to-state outward and return migration flows between Mexico and the United States from 1995 to 2012, this study is the first to analyze Mexico-U.S. migration at the state level and explore simultaneously the effect of economic, environmental, and social factors in Mexico over two decades. Pairing origin and destination states and controlling for a rich structure of fixed effects, we find that income positively impacts migration outflows, especially for Mexican states of origin with a recent migration history and for low-educated migrant flows, suggesting the existence of credit constraints. We find evidence that drought causes more out-migration, while other climatic shocks have no effect. Violence is found to increase out-migration flows from border states and to decrease migration from other Mexican states, especially where violence is directed at migrants. Last, return flows are larger when income growth at destination is lower, consistent with the accumulation of savings as a primary motivation of migrants. Exploring the impact of the crisis, we find evidence of significant changes in the geography of migration flows. Traditional flows are drying up, and new migration corridors are rising, with implications on the composition of the Mexican population in the United States. Although the effect of income on flows in both directions is unchanged by the crisis, the negative effect of violence on out-migration tends to reverse at the end of the period. Overall, this study emphasizes the interest of analyzing disaggregated flows at the infra-country level.en
dc.relation.isversionofjnlnameDemography
dc.relation.isversionofjnlvol53en
dc.relation.isversionofjnlissue5en
dc.relation.isversionofjnldate2016
dc.relation.isversionofjnlpages1453-1476en
dc.subject.ddclabelMarché du travail et politique de l'emploi. Prévision du niveau d'emploi. Mobilité et insertion professionnelleen
dc.relation.forthcomingnonen
dc.relation.forthcomingprintnonen
dc.description.ssrncandidatenonen
dc.description.halcandidateouien
dc.description.readershiprechercheen
dc.description.audienceInternationalen
dc.relation.Isversionofjnlpeerreviewednonen
dc.relation.Isversionofjnlpeerreviewednonen
dc.date.updated2017-03-24T10:53:27Z
hal.identifierhal-01507730*
hal.version1*
hal.author.functionaut
hal.author.functionaut


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